Blog

Two Paths

Two Paths

The market tends to follow one of two paths—either calm and climbing, or volatile and falling. After last week, it looks like we’ve just stepped back onto the better one.

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Credit Spreads Signal Calm

Credit Spreads Signal Calm

  After a sharp spike in early April, credit spreads are once again signaling smooth sailing in the bond market—and by extension, the stock market. The chart above shows U.S. high yield spreads tightening sharply—down 151 basis points since peaking at 4.61% on...

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Thrust!

Thrust!

  Houston, we have thrust! That’s right, this week’s indicator is all about thrust. But I’m not talking about a rocket ship—I’m talking about the stock market. Specifically, I’m referring to market breadth and how it can be used to generate an upside “thrust”...

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Financial Focus – May 14th, 2025

Financial Focus – May 14th, 2025

This week’s Financial Focus encourages young people—especially recent grads and students with summer jobs—to start saving early. Nate Kreinbrink highlights Roth IRAs as a strong option for young savers and reminds listeners that forming good financial habits now can make a big difference down the road.

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Rolling Returns Radar

Rolling Returns Radar

The stock market has performed well the last few years, but this year’s off to a rough start. Nate Kreinbrink joins us to discuss how a slower stretch after a strong run is normal for the markets.

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The Big Get Bigger

The Big Get Bigger

  This week’s chart shows that when it comes to profitability in the stock market, the big just keep on getting better. What do I mean? Well, this week’s chart shows the forward (expected) profit margins of the seven largest tech companies in the S&P 500...

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The Terrible Twos

The Terrible Twos

  So, the Fed came out this week and reiterated that they’re keeping rates where they are for now. You know, watching the data, that kind of thing. But if you look at what the bond market’s doing, it’s saying something different—and that’s the topic of this...

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Financial Focus – May 14th, 2025

Financial Focus – May 7th, 2025

In this episode of Financial Focus, David Nelson discusses Warren Buffett’s legacy, the impact of computerized trading on recent market swings, and how tax strategies can help investors reduce liabilities by shifting income from ordinary to capital gains. He also highlights growing investment opportunities abroad as the U.S. dollar weakens and international markets outperform domestic ones.

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The Q1 Effect

The Q1 Effect

First quarter did not start 2025 off on solid footing. David Nelson is here to share historical data on how years have traditionally finished after bumpy beginnings.

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