Gone Global

Gone Global

  We’ve talked some this year about the U.S. yield curve and how its inversion is signaling that a recession could be right around the corner. But it’s not just a U.S. problem. Global bonds joined the party this week. The chart above shows that the average yield...
Speedy Delivery

Speedy Delivery

    Supply chain stresses are getting better. That’s the message from this week’s featured chart, highlighted above, showing various regional Fed manufacturing indexes of supplier delivery times. Supplier delivery times are one of the most important economic...
On the MOVE

On the MOVE

  This week’s featured chart is the ICE BofA MOVE Index, a well-known measure of U.S. interest rate volatility. Specifically, the MOVE Index calculates future volatility in U.S. Treasury yields implied by prices of one-month options on Treasuries of various...
Dow on Top

Dow on Top

  This week’s featured chart compares the annualized returns of two of the most popular stock mark indexes in the United States: The NASDAQ Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average. The blue line represents the annualized returns of the NASDAQ composite...
Housing Halt

Housing Halt

  This week’s chart looks at mortgage rates and how their sharp rise this year has led mortgage applications to drop to their lowest level since 1997. Specifically, the top half of the chart shows the average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage, going back to the...