Doctor Copper

Doctor Copper

  There’s this saying on Wall Street that copper is the commodity with a PhD in economics. Why? Because it’s an industrial metal that sees its demand wax and wane with economic growth. The higher the growth, the higher the demand for copper, and vice versa. Well,...
Cutting Expectations

Cutting Expectations

This week’s big news was the release of the March CPI (consumer inflation) numbers. As feared, it came in hotter than expected. The year-over-year change in the CPI picked up to 3.48% last month. As you can see on the chart below, it’s been stuck in a narrow range...
Strength Begets Strength

Strength Begets Strength

  We closed out the first quarter last week—and it was a good one. Over the first three months of the year, the S&P 500 stock Index rose 10.16%. The three months before that, it was up 11.24%. That’s back-to-back quarterly gains of 10% or more for the first...
The Race to 2%

The Race to 2%

  At the latest Federal Reserve meeting, chairman Jerome Powell mentioned that inflation continues to “move down gradually on a sometimes bumpy road to 2%.” Why is 2% such a big deal? Well, hitting that target gives the Fed the green light to consider cutting...
Taylor Rule

Taylor Rule

  The big financial news this week was all about the Federal Reserve’s meeting on Wednesday. Pretty much everything happened as expected. The Fed decided to keep its policy rate steady at 5.5% for now, but they’re still thinking about cutting rates up...
The New Oil

The New Oil

  Some have said semiconductors are the new oil. The stock market agrees. Our featured chart this week shows the ratio of the Philadelphia Stock Exchange Semiconductor Index to the S&P 500 Index. This essentially illustrates how the semiconductor sector has...