Big Rig Barometer
The sales volume of heavy weight trucks is a leading economic indicator. John Nelson is here to explain why and what heavy truck sales reveals about the broader economy.
The Price You Pay
Everyone knows the price you pay matters—but where does that price even come from? This week’s commentary breaks down how the market decides what something’s worth—and what’s it’s saying right now.
Stress Signals
After more than two years of calm, financial stress is creeping back into the market. The chart above shows the St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index (bottom panel) plotted against the S&P 500 (top panel). The index tracks 18 different weekly data...
Estimate Erosion
Last week, we looked at how the market has remained fairly upbeat about earnings. This week’s discussion builds on that, digging into just how broad that optimism really is—or isn’t. This week’s indicator tracks the percentage of S&P 500 market...
Financial Focus – April 16th, 2025
This week on Financial Focus, Mike Steigerwald and Andy Fergurson dive into the end of tax season, highlighting how unexpected investment income can trigger penalties—and how to avoid them with better planning. They also clear up confusion around tax brackets, explaining why moving into a higher bracket doesn’t mean all your income gets taxed at that higher rate.
Sluggish
We often hear about GDP when experts are discussing the state of the economy. David Nelson joins us to share how important the Gross Domestic Product variable is and how it relates to stock market returns.
Fundamental Math
Stocks staged a wild comeback this week, but don’t let the rally fool you—valuations are still walking a tightrope. We break down what the fundamentals say about where the market could go from here, and why the real test may still lie ahead.
Vigilantes
It was another rollercoaster week in the markets. Volatility was high, and stock prices swung wildly. But beyond the headline-grabbing moves in equities, there was a deeper, more telling story unfolding under the surface—one that many non-market watchers likely...
Stock Plunge
We’re doing something a little different this week. The chart we’re looking at isn’t one of our go-to indicators—it’s more of a historical curiosity. But with the market falling over 9% last week, it’s worth digging into how things have played out after similar...
Financial Focus – April 9th, 2025
This week’s Financial Focus highlights the fast-approaching tax deadline and why now is the perfect time to start planning ahead, not just looking back. Nate Kreinbrink also breaks down the key decisions around Social Security—one of the most important assets in retirement—and how timing can impact your long-term financial picture.
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