The Earnings Engine

The Earnings Engine

  Over the past few weeks, we’ve spent some time diving into the state of corporate earnings—how they’re holding up, what expectations look like, and whether they’re realistic. This week, we’re taking it a step further by linking those earnings to the broader...
Estimate Erosion

Estimate Erosion

  Last week, we looked at how the market has remained fairly upbeat about earnings. This week’s discussion builds on that, digging into just how broad that optimism really is—or isn’t. This week’s indicator tracks the percentage of S&P 500 market...
Stock Plunge

Stock Plunge

  We’re doing something a little different this week. The chart we’re looking at isn’t one of our go-to indicators—it’s more of a historical curiosity. But with the market falling over 9% last week, it’s worth digging into how things have played out after similar...
Weak Foundation

Weak Foundation

  Global stocks are having a rough week. After a strong start to the year, markets have stumbled—hard. The selling pressure has been widespread, and it’s hitting many of the biggest names that have been propping things up. It’s starting to feel like a building...
What Did You Expect?

What Did You Expect?

  “Downward revision” is one of the most common phrases you’ll hear during earnings season. It’s a polite way of saying: “We got a little too optimistic.” This week’s indicator looks at how much those revisions are happening—and how much...
The Power of Two

The Power of Two

  When the stock market is down, we have a few tools in our toolkit that we use to gauge when the selling might be over. This week’s indicator, measuring 9-to-1 Up Days, is one of them. It produces a somewhat rare but historically important signal that tends to...