Mind the Gap

Mind the Gap

The U.S. stock market has been on shaky ground lately, wedged between moving averages and facing resistance from a recent technical “gap.” In this week’s commentary, we’ll discuss the “twin breakouts” plaguing markets and explore the key factors that could influence a potential year-end rally.

Hold the Line

Hold the Line

The U.S. stock market is quickly approaching a key level of technical support, its 200-day moving average. In this week’s analysis, we delve into the various factors currently impacting the market and assess its ability to proverbially “hold the line.”

Hanging by a Thread

Hanging by a Thread

The theme of this week’s market commentary is “hanging by a thread.” We highlight a few indicators illustrating why the current state of the stock market is precarious—including a chart that underscores the fragility of this year’s gains—and discuss the implications of this situation for our primary stock market risk model.

Playing Chicken

Playing Chicken

OVERVIEW   U.S. stocks fell last week as volatility reemerged on Wall Street. The VIX Index—a measure of investors’ expectations for market volatility—rose 25% for the week. The result was pretty large losses for the major U.S. stock indices. The S&P 500 fell...