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Rapid Rates

Rapid Rates

  This week’s indicator focuses on interest rates—and why rapid changes in interest rates can negatively affect the stock market. When we talk about interest rates in the financial world, we often reference the 10-year Treasury rate, the rate at which the federal...

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Financial Focus – August 23rd, 2023

Financial Focus – August 23rd, 2023

Welcome to this week’s episode of Financial Focus, where Nate Kreinbrink and Mike Steigerwald discuss topics related to tax planning and some strategies such as Roth conversions and Social Security timing to optimize retirement finances.

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Feeling Better

Feeling Better

Over the past couple of weeks, we have discussed some current risks that markets face. Nate Kreinbrink shares the positive signs he has seen for investors.

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Price Weakness

Price Weakness

OVERVIEW   All three major U.S. stock indices fell more than 2% last week as the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq recorded their third consecutive weekly declines. Small-cap stocks performed even worse, dropping around 3.4% for the week. Even foreign stocks were under...

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Intimidation

Intimidation

  James Carville has a famous quote about the bond market. It goes, “I used to think that if there was reincarnation, I wanted to come back as the President, or the Pope, or as a .400 baseball hitter. But now, I would want to come back as the bond market. You can...

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So Far, So Good

So Far, So Good

  This week’s indicator is called the Global Recession Probability Model. It uses a statistical technique called “logistic regression” to identify when global economic growth might slow down, with the probability ranging from 0% to 100%. We talked about this...

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It’s Relative

It’s Relative

Last week, we heard that summer months are typically a weaker time of year for stocks. David Nelson lets us know if he sees evidence to warrant caution by investors.

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Respect the Trend, but Heed the Rates

Respect the Trend, but Heed the Rates

OVERVIEW   It was a mixed bag of results for the major U.S. stock indices last week. While the tech-heavy Nasdaq fell 1.9%—its second straight weekly decline—the Dow rose 0.62%, its fourth weekly gain in the past five weeks. The S&P 500 ended somewhere in the...

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All Quiet on the Equity Front

All Quiet on the Equity Front

  It’s been pretty quiet in the stock market lately. Since about mid-March, or 100 trading days ago, the S&P 500 Index has been moving steadily higher without much fanfare. Our featured chart above illustrates just how quiet this move has been. The chart’s...

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