Blog

Business Conditions

Business Conditions

At the end of 2023, the economy and markets seemed to be going strong. David Nelson joins us to explain why things feel like they may have cooled off since the start of the year and what viewers’ mindsets should be when it comes to their investments.

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Balancing Act

Balancing Act

Navigating the stock market often feels like a delicate balancing act. In this week’s discussion, we examine the evidence from various indicators to figure out which way the investment scales are tipping.

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Bull vs. Bear Markets

Bull vs. Bear Markets

  This week, we highlight a fun little chart showing bull vs bear markets since 1950. What’s a bull market? It’s generally defined as a gain of 20% or more from a bear market bottom. Similarly, a bear market is a 20% or more loss from a bull market high. The...

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Recession Probability

Recession Probability

  Is a recession coming? While a definitive yes-or-no answer to a question like that is virtually impossible, we can get somewhat close by using a model that assigns a probability to the outcome—called a Recession Probability Model. The main ingredients for the...

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Dominant Tech

Dominant Tech

  When people discuss "the stock market," they often mean a big index like the S&P 500. But it’s sometimes more informative to break the index down into smaller sections, or sectors, that describe the underlying businesses. For example, 11 sectors make up the...

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Highest of All Time

Highest of All Time

With markets around all-time highs, there is much speculation about what is next. David Nelson is here to share his expertise and how viewers may use this information.

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Triumvirate

Triumvirate

In this week’s commentary, we highlight a “financial triumvirate” that has formed in our main stock market model and discuss why the market’s fate depends on its strength.

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Leading the Way

Leading the Way

  The FIBER U.S. Weekly Leading Index is a tool economists and investors use to measure economic growth. It’s called a “leading index” because it tends to lead the economic cycle by several months. Since it reveals the direction in which the economy is likely...

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